AsketCuisine · Restaurant Concept Study Studija restoranskog koncepta

Bistro Vračar

Belgrade — 44.7946° N, 20.4723° E Beograd — 44.7946° S, 20.4723° I

A restaurant concept, planned from the location data up. Here the AsketCuisine method is applied to one of Belgrade’s more demanding districts: population data, the competition, a financial model with 2025 wages, and a menu meant to cover its own cost. Where a number comes from an official source, the source is given; the rest are estimates. Koncept restorana, planiran od podataka o lokaciji naviše. Ovde je AsketCuisine metoda primenjena na jedan od zahtevnijih delova Beograda: podaci o stanovništvu, konkurencija, finansijska računica sa platama za 2025. godinu i jelovnik koji treba da pokrije svoj trošak. Gde je broj iz zvaničnog izvora, izvor je naveden; ostalo su procene.

55.406
Residents · 2.92 km²Stanovnika · 2,92 km²
~19k
Density/km² — highest in SerbiaGustina/km² — najveća u Srbiji
168k
Avg. net income RSD (2024) — #2 Belgrade · source: RZSProsečna neto zarada RSD (2024) — #2 Beograd · izvor: RZS
0
European bistros with a wine bar in the district, as far as I knowEvropskih bistroa sa vinskim barom u opštini, koliko znam
ScrollDalje
01 · Demographic Profile 01 · Demografski profil
55.406
Residents, Census 2022Stanovnika, Popis 2022
2,92 km²
Surface areaPovršina opštine
168.265
Avg. net income RSD (2024, RZS) — #2 BelgradeProsečna neto zarada RSD (2024, RZS) — #2 Beograd
2,0
Avg. household size — smallest in BelgradeProsek domaćinstva — najmanji u Beogradu
  • Core demographic: professionals aged 28–52Osnovna demografija: profesionalci od 28 do 52 godine Vračar is home and workplace to many lawyers, architects, IT specialists, university staff and medical staff (the Clinical Center of Serbia is 600m from Slavija). Highly educated, short on time, financially stable. They eat out regularly, as part of the working week, not as an occasional luxury. The average net wage of 168.265 RSD (RZS, 2024) puts Vračar second in Belgrade, just behind Stari grad at 176.214 RSD. The money is there. The question is where people will spend it. Na Vračaru živi i radi mnogo advokata, arhitekata, IT stručnjaka, ljudi sa fakulteta i medicinskog osoblja (Klinički centar Srbije je 600m od Slavije). Visoko obrazovani, sa malo vremena, finansijski stabilni. Van kuće jedu redovno, kao deo radne nedelje, a ne kao povremeni luksuz. Prosečna neto zarada od 168.265 RSD (RZS, 2024) stavlja Vračar na drugo mesto u Beogradu, odmah iza Starog grada sa 176.214 RSD. Novca ima. Pitanje je gde će ga ljudi trošiti.
  • Tourists: 300,000+ visitors a year at the Church of Saint SavaTuristi: 300.000+ posetilaca godišnje kod Hrama Svetog Save Almost every organized tour of Belgrade passes through here. Foot traffic is heaviest between 10 and 15h, all year round. What is on offer around the church is mostly aimed at tourists passing through. A good bistro in that zone could make a name for itself without spending much on advertising. Skoro svaki organizovani obilazak Beograda prolazi ovuda. Najviše pešaka je između 10 i 15h, tokom cele godine. Ponuda uz Hram je uglavnom namenjena turistima u prolazu. Dobar bistro u toj zoni mogao bi da stekne ime i bez velikih troškova za reklamu.
  • Many offices within walking distanceMnogo kancelarija na pešačkoj udaljenosti Law offices, design studios, advertising agencies, accounting firms: a lot of people work on Vračar and need lunch every day. Weekday lunches carry a bistro. They cover the fixed costs, so the evening revenue is left for margin. Advokatske kancelarije, projektantski biroi, reklamne agencije, računovodstvene firme: na Vračaru radi mnogo ljudi kojima svaki dan treba ručak. Ručkovi radnim danima nose bistro. Oni pokrivaju fiksne troškove, pa večernji prihod ostaje za maržu.
  • Kalenić market — a direct sourcing advantage, 400m awayKalenić pijaca — direktna prednost u nabavci, 400m Few restaurants in Belgrade have a market like this a step away: seasonal vegetables, local cheeses, local butchers. A kitchen that does not use it pays more and gets less. Kalenić is part of the sourcing plan from day one. Malo koji restoran u Beogradu ima ovakvu pijacu na korak: sezonsko povrće, domaći sirevi, lokalni mesari. Ko je ne koristi, plaća skuplje i dobija manje. Kalenić je deo plana nabavke od prvog dana.
02 · Who is already there 02 · Ko je već tu
Operator TypeTip operatera DensityZasićenost AssessmentProcena
Traditional Serbian kitchenSrpska tradicionalna kuhinjaOversaturatedPrezasićenaAvoidIzbegati
Italian / pizza-pasta chainsItalijanski lanci / pizza-pastaHighVisokaAvoidIzbegati
Sushi / pan-AsianSuši / pan-azijskaMedium — 3–4 operatorsSrednja — 3–4 operateraCoveredPokriveno
Fast-casual café-lunchFast-casual kafić-ručakLowNiskaPartial gapDelimična praznina
Quality European bistro + wine barKvalitetan evropski bistro + vinski barNone, as far as I knowNema, koliko znamPrimary targetPrimarni cilj
Natural / biodynamic wine barPrirodni / biodinamički vinski barAbsent from districtOdsutan iz opštineAdd-onDodatak
Serious weekend brunchOzbiljan vikend brunch1 operator (Savamala, 3 km away)1 operater (Savamala, 3 km odavde)OpeningPrilika
03 · Street by street 03 · Ulica po ulica
  • Njegoševa
    The main street of the district, with tram and bus stops. Units of 140–180m² rent for 1.500–2.500 EUR a month (source: NadjiDom.com, 2024). Plenty of foot traffic during the day, and the place is easy to see. The downside: rent is at the top of the range and moves the break-even directly. Glavna ulica opštine, sa tramvajskim i autobuskim stanicama. Lokali od 140–180m² izdaju se za 1.500–2.500 EUR mesečno (izvor: NadjiDom.com, 2024). Mnogo pešaka tokom dana, lokal se lako vidi. Mana: kirija je na gornjem kraju raspona i direktno pomera break-even. ★★★★★
  • Krunska
    A quiet residential street: embassies, law offices, private doctors. Fewer passers-by, but the average guest spends more. Ground-floor units are rare, but when one comes up it is usually a bit cheaper than on Njegoševa. A good spot for an evening bistro. For weekend brunch, by my estimate, very good. Mirna, stambena ulica: ambasade, advokatske kancelarije, privatni lekari. Manje pešaka, ali gost u proseku troši više. Prizemlja su retka, ali kad se pojave, obično su nešto jeftinija nego na Njegoševoj. Dobro mesto za večernji bistro. Za vikend brunch, po proceni, vrlo dobro. ★★★★☆
  • Svetozara Markovića
    A street of students and professors, next to the Faculty of Law and the Faculty of Philology. Plenty of lunch trade; they watch prices more closely, but there are more of them. Ground-floor units are easy to find. Good for a more affordable prix-fixe lunch. Ulica studenata i profesora, uz Pravni i Filološki fakultet. Za ručak ima dosta gostiju; na cenu paze više, ali ih ima više. Prizemlja se lako nalaze. Dobro za pristupačniji prix-fixe ručak. ★★★☆☆
  • The Saint Sava corridor (Bulevar oslobođenja — Kralja Milutina)Hramski koridor (Bulevar oslobođenja — Kralja Milutina)
    Lots of tourists, mostly between 10 and 15h, every day. A bistro of this kind would stand out here. A terrace is a must; without one the numbers do not work. Mnogo turista, najviše između 10 i 15h, svaki dan. Bistro ovakvog tipa tu bi se izdvojio. Terasa je obavezna, bez nje računica ne izlazi. ★★★★☆
04 · The concept 04 · Koncept

The concept answers what Vračar is missing Koncept odgovara na ono čega na Vračaru nema

The location analysis is not there for the investors. Every decision comes out of it, from the number of seats to the price of the crème brûlée. Vračar does not need just any new restaurant; it needs a particular kind. Analiza lokacije nije tu zbog investitora. Iz nje proizlazi svaka odluka, od broja mesta do cene crème brûlée-a. Vračaru ne treba bilo kakav novi restoran, nego određena vrsta.

I
European bistroEvropski bistro

Not fusion, and not fine dining dressed up as a bistro. A classic bistro with French roots, done carefully: steak frites, confit, sole meunière, a charcuterie board worth what it costs. In my estimate, Belgrade has few bistros at a level that matches what Vračar can afford. A guest who has eaten in Paris, Vienna or Lisbon knows what they are looking for and goes back where they do not have to explain it. Ni fuzija ni fine dining u bistro odelu. Klasičan bistro francuskog korena, urađen pažljivo: steak frites, confit, sole meunière, charcuterie ploča koja vredi koliko košta. Po mojoj proceni, bistroa na nivou koji odgovara platežnoj moći Vračara u Beogradu ima malo. Gost koji je jeo u Parizu, Beču ili Lisabonu zna šta traži i vraća se tamo gde ne mora da objašnjava.

II
Wine programVinski program

A wine list with natural and biodynamic producers, which guests aged 25 to 45 in Belgrade look for and which Vračar does not have yet. Vermouth service, aperitivo from 17 to 19h, a short list of classic cocktails, made properly. The bar brings in revenue independently of the kitchen: a guest comes for one glass, stays for two and orders a charcuterie board. That revenue does not need a single kitchen station. Karta vina sa prirodnim i biodinamičkim proizvođačima, koje gosti od 25 do 45 godina u Beogradu traže, a na Vračaru ih za sada nema. Vermut servis, aperitivo od 17 do 19h, kratka lista klasičnih koktela, urađenih kako treba. Bar donosi prihod nezavisno od kuhinje: gost dođe na jednu čašu, ostane na dve i naruči charcuterie ploču. Za taj prihod ne treba nijedno mesto u kuhinji.

III
Quick lunchBrz ručak

People who work on Vračar have 45–55 minutes for lunch. They want real food, a decent room, not to be rushed, and a reasonable price. Prix-fixe lunch: starter + main + coffee, 1.350–1.600 RSD. Each table turns twice between 12 and 15h. By the numbers, that covers labor costs every working day, whatever the evening is like. Lunch is the base, not an extra. Ko radi na Vračaru, ima 45–55 minuta za ručak. Hoće pravo jelo, pristojan prostor, da ga ne žure, i razumnu cenu. Prix-fixe ručak: predjelo + glavno + kafa, 1.350–1.600 RSD. Sto se okrene dva puta između 12 i 15h. Po računici, to pokriva troškove radne snage svakog radnog dana, kakvo god da je veče. Ručak je osnova, ne dodatak.

Concept IdentityIdentitet koncepta
Bistro
Vračar
A neighborhood bistro with European cooking and natural wines, both done properly. Kvartovski bistro sa evropskom kuhinjom i prirodnim vinima, oboje urađeno kako treba.
“The restaurant that does best is not always the most ambitious one. Usually it is the one that knows best who walks through its door and what that person needs.” „Restoran koji najbolje radi nije uvek najambiciozniji. Obično je to onaj koji najbolje zna ko mu ulazi na vrata i šta tom čoveku treba.“ AsketCuisine · Concept development principlePrincip razvoja koncepta
05 · Financial Model 05 · Finansijski model

The numbers before opening Brojevi pre otvaranja

The numbers are built cautiously, on market data for 2025. Wages are at a level that can attract and keep a good team: wages in Serbia are rising 11–14% a year in nominal terms (RZS, 2024), and cooks are leaving for Europe more and more often. Rents are at real prices for central Vračar locations. Two things that often get mixed up are explained separately: why drinks COGS is not calculated on total revenue, and the difference between gross profit before SGA and EBITDA. Računica je pravljena oprezno, na tržišnim podacima za 2025. godinu. Plate su na nivou koji može da privuče i zadrži dobar tim: plate u Srbiji rastu nominalno 11–14% godišnje (RZS, 2024), a kuvari sve češće odlaze u Evropu. Kirije su po stvarnim cenama na centralnim lokacijama Vračara. Posebno su objašnjene dve stvari koje se često pomešaju: zašto se COGS pića ne računa na ukupan prihod i koja je razlika između bruto dobiti pre SGA i EBITDA.

Revenue scenario (monthly)Scenario prihoda (mesečno)
Dining room seatsMesta u sali42
Terrace seats (season)Mesta na terasi (sezona)14
Lunch covers/day (Mon–Fri, 2 turns)Ručak pokrivanja/dan (pon–pet, 2 smene)58
Average lunch check (prix-fixe)Prosečan račun ručak (prix-fixe)1.450 RSD
Dinner covers/service — 19 services/month (year 1: 4–5 days/wk)Večera pokrivanja/servis — 19 servisa/mes. (god. 1: 4–5 dana/ned.)40
Average dinner check (à la carte)Prosečan račun večera (à la carte)3.100 RSD
Bar revenue — aperitivo + glasses sold on their ownBar prihod — aperitivo + samostalne čaše~480.000 RSD
Brunch Sat/Sun (avg. 70 covers)Brunch sub/ned (avg. 70 pokrivanja)~560.000 RSD
Estimated monthly revenueProcenjeni mesečni prihod ≈ 5.250.000 RSD
Cost profile (monthly)Troškovni profil (mesečno)
Food cost (COGS, target 28% of food revenue)Nabavna cena hrane (COGS, cilj 28% od prihoda od hrane) ~1.330.000 RSD
Drinks cost (COGS 30% of bar revenue — not of total revenue) Nabavna cena pića (COGS 30% od bar prihoda — ne od ukupnog prihoda) ~390.000 RSD
Labor — 13 FTE in total (gross wages + employer contributions ~37%) Radna snaga — 13 FTE ukupno (bruto plate + doprinosi poslodavca ~37%) ~2.050.000 RSD
Rent — Njegoševa / central location ~150m²Kirija — Njegoševa / centralna lokacija ~150m² ~270.000 RSD
Utilities + packaging + small equipmentKomunalije + ambalaža + sitni inventar ~200.000 RSD
Marketing, accounting, licenseMarketing, računovodstvo, licenca ~110.000 RSD
Total monthly costs (before depreciation)Ukupni mesečni troškovi (pre amortizacije) ≈ 4.360.000 RSD
Profitability indicatorsIndikatori profitabilnosti
Gross profit before SGABruto dobit pre SGA (Gross Profit)≈ 3.530.000 RSD
EBITDA (operating profit)EBITDA (operativna dobit)≈ 890.000 RSD
Operating marginOperativna marža≈ 17%
Monthly break-even (revenue)Mesečni break-even (prihod)≈ 4.350.000 RSD
Capex estimate (fit-out + equipment)Procena Capex (uređenje + oprema)30–45M RSD
Payback (conservative)Povrat investicije (konzervativno)36–44 meseca
Project viability estimateProcena održivosti projekta ViableOdrživo
Gross profit before SGA: why on its own it says little Bruto dobit pre SGA: zašto sama po sebi ne govori mnogo

Gross profit is revenue minus only the direct cost of the goods sold — the purchase cost of food and drinks (COGS). It shows how much is left before wages, rent, electricity and everything else are paid. Formula: Gross profit = Revenue − COGS. In this model: 5.250.000 − 1.720.000 = 3.530.000 RSD. It sounds good, but on its own that figure says little. Gross Profit (bruto dobit) je prihod umanjen isključivo za direktne troškove prodatih dobara — nabavnu cenu hrane i pića (COGS). Ona govori koliko ostaje pre nego što se plate plate, kirija, struja i sve ostalo. Formula: Bruto dobit = Prihod − COGS. U ovom modelu: 5.250.000 − 1.720.000 = 3.530.000 RSD. Zvuči dobro, ali sama po sebi ta cifra ne govori mnogo.

SGA (Selling, General & Administrative expenses) are all the fixed and semi-fixed operating costs: labor, rent, utilities, marketing, accounting. Only when they are taken off gross profit do you get EBITDA, the operating profit, which shows what the business really earns. When only gross profit is given, without SGA, the main question stays open: what does it cost to bring in that revenue? SGA (Selling, General & Administrative expenses) su svi fiksni i polufiksni operativni troškovi: radna snaga, kirija, komunalije, marketing, računovodstvo. Tek kad se oni oduzmu od bruto dobiti, dobija se EBITDA, operativna dobit, koja pokazuje koliko posao stvarno zarađuje. Kad se navede samo bruto dobit, bez SGA, ostaje otvoreno glavno pitanje: koliko košta da se taj prihod ostvari?

RevenuePrihod5.250.000 RSD
− Food COGS− COGS hrana1.330.000 RSD
− Drinks COGS (30% of bar revenue)− COGS pića (30% od bar prihoda)390.000 RSD
= Gross profit= Bruto dobit (Gross Profit)3.530.000 RSD
− Labor (gross + contributions)− Radna snaga (bruto + doprinosi)2.050.000 RSD
− Rent + utilities + other− Kirija + komunalije + ostalo580.000 RSD
= EBITDA (operating profit)= EBITDA (operativna dobit)≈ 890.000 RSD
Operativna marža~17%

Note on drinks costs: The 30% drinks COGS is calculated on bar revenue (~480.000 RSD/month aperitivo + glasses sold on their own), not on the restaurant’s total revenue. A common mistake is to express drinks cost as a percentage of total revenue: the cost then looks smaller and drinks look more profitable than they are. Bar revenue ~480k RSD × 30% COGS = ~144k RSD of direct drinks cost. Total drinks COGS also includes wine with meals (~246k RSD), which gives ~390k RSD in total. Target margin on drinks: 70%, usual for a bistro with natural wines at 1.800–4.500 RSD a bottle at cost. Napomena o troškovima pića: COGS pića od 30% računa se na bar prihod (~480.000 RSD/mes aperitivo + samostalne čaše), ne na ukupan prihod restorana. Česta greška je da se trošak pića izrazi kao procenat ukupnog prihoda: tako trošak izgleda manji, a piće isplativije nego što jeste. Bar prihod ~480k RSD × 30% COGS = ~144k RSD direktnog troška pića. Ukupni COGS pića uključuje i vino uz obroke (~246k RSD), što daje ~390k RSD ukupno. Ciljna marža na pićima: 70%, uobičajeno za bistro sa prirodnim vinima od 1.800–4.500 RSD po boci u nabavci.

Target COGS — foodCiljni COGS — hrana
28%
Blended across all food categoriesProsek svih kategorija hrane
Drinks COGS — of bar revenueCOGS pića — od bar prihoda
30%
Measured on bar revenue, not totalMereno na bar prihod, ne na ukupni
Labor / revenue (13 FTE)Radna snaga / prihod (13 FTE)
39%
Estimate for this concept, Belgrade 2025–2026Procena za ovaj koncept, Beograd 2025–2026
Target EBITDA marginCiljana EBITDA marža
16–20%
From year 2, if the stated covers are reachedOd 2. godine, ako se ostvari navedeni broj gostiju
07 · Schedule and team07 · Raspored i tim

A dining room does not run itself Sala se ne vodi sama od sebe

Opening hours and service modelRadno vreme i model servisa
  • ♦
    Pon–Pet: 12:00–23:00
    Lunch 12–15h, aperitivo 17–19h, dinner 19–23h. The kitchen closes at 22:30. No late kitchen: an earlier finish protects quality, and fewer staff quit.Ručak 12–15h, aperitivo 17–19h, večera 19–23h. Kuhinja se zatvara u 22:30. Nema kasne kuhinje: raniji kraj čuva kvalitet, a ljudi ređe odlaze.
  • ♦
    Saturday: 11:00–23:00 — brunch + dinnerSubota: 11:00–23:00 — brunch + večera
    Brunch 11–15h with its own menu. By my estimate there is room for a Saturday brunch on Vračar, and whoever gets in first and does it well could hold it for a long time.Brunch 11–15h s posebnim menijem. Za subotnji brunch na Vračaru, po proceni, ima mesta, i ko prvi dobro uđe, mogao bi dugo da ga drži.
  • ♦
    Sunday: 12:00–18:00 — lunch onlyNedelja: 12:00–18:00 — samo ručak
    Sunday lunch is an old habit of European bistros. Families, tables pushed together, long meals. The estimate is that the average Sunday check is 15–20% higher than in the evening. Closes at 18:00, no exceptions.Nedeljni ručak je stara navika evropskih bistroa. Porodice, spojeni stolovi, dugi obroci. Procena je da je prosečan nedeljni račun 15–20% veći od večernjeg. Zatvara se u 18:00, bez izuzetka.
  • ♦
    Reservations: required for dinner, walk-in for lunchRezervacije: obavezne za večeru, walk-in za ručak
    Lunch walk-ins bring life and fill the slower hours. A reserved table is held for 15 min, then released. The rule applies to everyone.Gosti bez rezervacije za ručak donose živost i pune slabije sate. Rezervisan sto se drži 15 min, posle se oslobađa. Pravilo važi za sve.
Team — 13 FTETim — 13 FTE
RoleUloga FTE Net/month (RSD)Neto/mes. (RSD)
Head chefŠef kuhinje1195.000
Sous chef1160.000
Chef de partie ×2 (hot + cold kitchen)Chef de partie ×2 (topla + hladna kuhinja)2250.000
Cook / commis ×3Kuvar / commis ×33345.000
Kitchen assistant / portioner ×2Pomoćna kuhinja / porcioner ×22180.000
Restaurant manager / maîtreMenadžer restorana / maître1160.000
Sommelier / head waiterSommelier / glavni konobar1148.000
Floor + bar waiters ×3Konobari sala + bar ×33375.000
TotalUkupno 14* ~1.813.000 neto

* 13 FTE equivalent; 2 commis and 1 kitchen assistant work part-time13 FTE ekvivalent; 2 commis i 1 pomoćna kuhinja rade skraćeno radno vreme

Why 13 FTE, not 8: A bistro with lunch, aperitivo, dinner and weekend brunch needs at least 8 people in the kitchen and 5 on the floor to cover all shifts without the overtime that wears a team out. The average wage on Vračar is 168.265 RSD net (RZS, 2024), and that is the yardstick for the labor market. A kitchen that pays below it has a hard time keeping a good team. Wages are rising 11–14% a year in nominal terms (RZS), and cooks can find work in Europe too. Total labor cost: ~1.813.000 net + employer contributions (~37%) = ~2.484.000 RSD gross. The model shows ~2.050.000 RSD, because part of the team works part-time. A labor cost of 39% of revenue has to be planned from day one, not from year three. Zašto 13 FTE, a ne 8: Bistro sa ručkom, aperitivom, večerom i vikend brunchom traži najmanje 8 ljudi u kuhinji i 5 u sali da pokrije sve smene bez prekovremenog rada koji iscrpljuje tim. Prosečna zarada na Vračaru je 168.265 RSD neto (RZS, 2024), i to je mera za tržište rada. Kuhinja koja plaća ispod toga teško zadržava dobar tim. Plate rastu nominalno 11–14% godišnje (RZS), a kuvari imaju posla i u Evropi. Ukupni trošak radne snage: ~1.813.000 neto + doprinosi poslodavca (~37%) = ~2.484.000 RSD bruto. U modelu je prikazano ~2.050.000 RSD, jer deo tima radi skraćeno. Trošak radne snage od 39% prihoda treba planirati od prvog dana, ne od treće godine.

08 · Risks08 · Rizici

Every risk has a name Svaki rizik ima ime

Too much optimism is a common reason restaurants fail. Here we look for the weak points before they find the till. Previše optimizma je čest razlog zašto restorani propadaju. Ovde tražimo slabe tačke pre nego što one nađu kasu.

Labor costsTroškovi radne snage
HighVisok

Wages are rising 11–14% a year in nominal terms (RZS, 2024/2025). Cooks get real offers from abroad. A bistro that starts with decent wages also has to raise them every year, or it loses the team.Plate rastu nominalno 11–14% godišnje (RZS, 2024/2025). Kuvari imaju stvarne ponude iz inostranstva. Bistro koji krene sa pristojnim platama mora i da ih povećava svake godine, inače gubi tim.

What we do: An annual wage increase in the plan from day one. A profit share for the chefs after month 18. Written recipes and standard procedures, so the work does not depend on one person.Šta se radi: Godišnje povećanje plata u planu od prvog dana. Udeo u dobiti za šefove u kuhinji posle 18. meseca. Zapisani recepti i standardne procedure, da posao ne visi na jednom čoveku.
Rent: increases and a new leaseKirija: rast i novi ugovor
HighVisok

Central Vračar streets are among the most expensive in the city to rent. Units >100m² on Njegoševa: 1.500–2.500 EUR/month (CityExpert, NadjiDom, 2024). A new lease in year 2 or 3 can turn a 19% EBITDA margin into bare survival.Centralne ulice Vračara spadaju među najskuplje za zakup u gradu. Lokali >100m² na Njegoševoj: 1.500–2.500 EUR/mesec (CityExpert, NadjiDom, 2024). Novi ugovor u 2. ili 3. godini može EBITDA maržu od 19% da svede na jedva preživljavanje.

What we do: A lease of at least 5 years, with a cap on the annual rent increase. Krunska instead of Njegoševa if the difference in rent is >30%.Šta se radi: Zakup na najmanje 5 godina, sa ograničenim godišnjim povećanjem kirije. Krunska umesto Njegoševe, ako je razlika u kiriji >30%.
Unfamiliar menuNepoznat jelovnik
MediumSrednji

Escargot, sole meunière, bisque: for a good share of guests on Vračar these are unfamiliar dishes. The bistro should not apologize for its menu, but it must not seem out of reach either. The first 60 days will show whether the concept works with local guests.Escargot, sole meunière, bisque: za dobar deo gostiju na Vračaru to su nepoznata jela. Bistro ne treba da se izvinjava za jelovnik, ali ne sme ni da deluje nedostupno. Prvih 60 dana pokazaće da li koncept prolazi kod domaćih gostiju.

What we do: Every unfamiliar dish gets one sentence on the menu about where it comes from. Every waiter tastes the whole menu before opening. Familiar dishes (steak frites, chicken thigh, carp) keep guests coming while they build trust.Šta se radi: Uz svako nepoznato jelo na jelovniku piše jedna rečenica o poreklu. Svaki konobar pre otvaranja proba ceo jelovnik. Poznata jela (steak frites, pileće bedro, šaran) drže goste dok ne steknu poverenje.
SummerLeto
MediumSrednji

In July and August Vračar has, by my estimate, 30–40% fewer office workers, because they are at the seaside. Tourists at the church make up part of it, but not at dinner. Without a terrace, summer is a much bigger risk.U julu i avgustu na Vračaru je, po proceni, 30–40% manje ljudi iz kancelarija, jer su na moru. Turisti kod Hrama delimično nadoknade, ali ne za večeru. Bez terase, leto je mnogo veći rizik.

What we do: A terrace of at least 12 seats is a must, not an extra. The summer menu moves to lighter dishes. In August a smaller team works, only as many people as are needed.Šta se radi: Terasa od najmanje 12 mesta je obavezna, ne dodatak. Letnji meni ide ka lakšim jelima. U avgustu radi manji tim, onoliko koliko je potrebno.
Imported goodsUvozna roba
Low / manageableNizak / upraviv

Dover sole, Burgundy snails and some of the charcuterie need reliable importers. Shortages happen. Three dishes on this menu depend on special sourcing.Dover lista, burgundski puževi i deo charcuterie robe traže pouzdane uvoznike. Nestašice se dešavaju. Tri jela na ovom jelovniku zavise od posebne nabavke.

What we do: Two independent suppliers for every imported item before opening. The floor has an agreed way to say when a dish runs out (“86”). A seasonal off-menu dish fills the gap.Šta se radi: Dva nezavisna dobavljača za svaki uvozni artikal pre otvaranja. Sala ima dogovoren način da javi kad jelo nestane („86“). Sezonsko jelo van jelovnika popunjava rupu.
Drifting from the conceptUdaljavanje od koncepta
Low (if the plan holds)Nizak (ako se drži plan)

Month four, the room is half empty. The investor suggests pizza or grill. That is how a bistro starts to disappear, not all at once but dish by dish. After ten dishes like that, the concept is gone.Četvrti mesec, sala je poluprazna. Investitor predlaže picu ili roštilj. Tako bistro počne da nestaje, ne odjednom nego jelo po jelo. Posle deset takvih jela, koncepta više nema.

What we do: The menu is part of the contract. Changes go through the same analysis as at the start. The rule: a new dish comes in only when one goes out, so the number of dishes stays the same.Šta se radi: Jelovnik je deo ugovora. Za izmene se radi ista analiza kao na početku. Pravilo: novo jelo ulazi samo kad jedno izađe, pa broj jela ostaje isti.
09 · Assessment09 · Procena

Vračar has room for a bistro like this.
The rest comes down to execution.
Vračar ima mesta za ovakav bistro.
Ostalo je na izvođenju.

The population data are in its favor. The gap in the offer is there, as far as the analysis shows. The numbers work on cautious assumptions and real wages. The menu was built for the market, not for ego. The risks are listed. What is left is execution, and no document can calculate that. That is where the real work starts. Podaci o stanovništvu idu u prilog. Praznina u ponudi postoji, koliko se iz analize vidi. Računica izlazi uz oprezne pretpostavke i stvarne plate. Jelovnik je pravljen za tržište, ne za ego. Rizici su navedeni. Ostaje izvođenje, a njega nijedan dokument ne može da izračuna. Tu počinje pravi posao.

9/10
Location scoreOcena lokacije
8/10
Concept fitUklapanje koncepta
7/10
Financial confidenceFinansijsko poverenje
6/10
Readiness to executeGotovost za izvođenje
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This document is an example, not a finished project Ovaj dokument je primer, ne gotov projekat

For a real project, an analysis like this is only the start. After it come viewing premises, talks with suppliers, a hiring plan and getting ready for opening day. Za pravi projekat, ovakva analiza je tek početak. Posle nje dolaze obilasci lokala, razgovori sa dobavljačima, plan zapošljavanja i priprema za dan otvaranja.

ConsultingKonsalting MethodologyMetodologija Asket Lab